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Canadian businesses are grappling with significant challenges stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's imposition of tariffs.

These measures have introduced economic uncertainty, disrupted supply chains, and strained the historically robust trade relationship between Canada and the United States.

That uncertainty has been compared to what many businesses felt when the pandemic virtually shut down the economy, creating chaos and confusion.

To assist the local business community as they did then, the Cambridge Chamber of Commerce and Greater Kitchener Waterloo Chamber of Commerce have relaunched their Ask the Expert initiative to share information and resources.

Held online every Thursday from 9 a.m. to 10 a.m., Ask the Expert provides business operators the opportunity to discuss their concerns, as well as hear the latest news and insights from a variety of professionals surrounding the issues related to this escalating trade war, including federal aid programs.

Global growth slowdown

Among those who recently shared their knowledge was Automotive Parts Manufacturers’ Association (APMA) CEO Flavio Volpe who discussed, among other things, the impact tariffs will have on auto industry on both sides of the border. 

“It almost feels a little bit like we are in the early days of the pandemic when business owners we’re just trying to understand what was happening,” says Cambridge Chamber President and CEO Greg Durocher, describing the uncertainty currently being felt by business owners.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has highlighted the detrimental impact of these tariffs on the global economy, with particular emphasis on Canada.

The OECD forecasts a slowdown in global growth to 3.1% in 2025 and 3.0% in 2026, attributing this deceleration partly to the trade tensions initiated by the U.S. Specifically, Canada's economic growth is projected to decline to 0.7% in 2025, a significant reduction that underscores the profound effect of the tariffs on the nation's economic trajectory.

Eroded business confidence

The unpredictability associated with the on-again, off-again nature of the tariffs has eroded business confidence.

The latest CEO Confidence Index from Chief Executive magazine indicates a significant drop, reaching the lowest level since November 2012. This decline is attributed to the fluctuating tariff policies between the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, which have made long-term planning and investment decisions increasingly challenging for businesses.

Executives from major financial institutions have voiced concerns about the negative impact of this uncertainty on business operations and economic stability. 

Greg says that uncertainty is clear, noting many of those logging on to Ask the Expert are smaller business owners who may not be directly impacted by tariffs but more from the trickle-down effects of a prolonged trade war.

“Nobody really knows yet what those impacts will be,” he says. “The people joining us really want to know more about timing and when things are going to happen. I think some of the concerns are morphing away from talk of annexation and are now touching on the realization that there is something really wrong in the U.S.”

To join an Ask the Expert conversation, visit www.chambercheck.ca (which offers resources and information to help businesses) and sign up. 

For those who can’t participate live, Ask the Expert videos are posted on  www.chambercheck.ca  and the Cambridge Chamber of Commerce YouTube channel. 

Federal aid package info

In response to U.S. tariff impositions that have disrupted trade and heightened economic uncertainty, the Canadian government has introduced a comprehensive aid package exceeding $6 billion to support affected businesses. The key components of this financial assistance include:

1. Trade Impact Program by Export Development Canada (EDC):

With its newly launched Trade Impact Program, EDC is prepared to facilitate an additional $5 billion over two years in support. This program aims to:

• Market Diversification: Assist exporters in identifying and penetrating new international markets, reducing reliance on the U.S. market.

• Risk Mitigation: Provide solutions to manage challenges such as non-payment risks, currency fluctuations, and cash flow constraints.

• Expansion Support: Offer financial backing to overcome barriers hindering business growth and international expansion.

These measures are designed to help companies navigate the economic challenges posed by the tariffs and adapt to the evolving trade environment. 

Government of Canada.

2. Business Development Bank of Canada (BDC) Financing:

To support businesses directly affected by the tariffs, the BDC is providing $500 million in favorably priced loans. Key features include:

• Loan Amounts: Businesses can access loans ranging from $100,000 to $2 million.

• Flexible Terms: Loans come with favorable interest rates and flexible repayment options, including the possibility of deferring principal payments for up to 12 months.

• Advisory Services: Beyond financing, BDC offers advisory services in areas such as financial management and market diversification to strengthen business resilience.

This initiative aims to provide immediate financial relief and support long-term strategic planning for affected businesses. 

3. Farm Credit Canada (FCC) Support for Agriculture and Food Industry:

Recognizing the unique challenges faced by the agriculture and food sectors, the government has allocated $1 billion in new financing through FCC. This support includes:

• Additional Credit Lines: Access to an additional credit line of up to $500,000 for eligible businesses.

• New Term Loans: Provision of new term loans to address specific financial needs arising from the tariffs.

• Payment Deferrals: Current FCC customers have the option to defer principal payments on existing loans for up to 12 months.

These measures are intended to alleviate cash flow challenges, allowing businesses to adjust to the new operating environment and continue supplying high-quality agricultural and food products. 

4. Enhancements to the Employment Insurance (EI) Work-Sharing Program:

To mitigate layoffs and retain skilled workers, the government has introduced temporary flexibilities to the EI Work-Sharing Program:

• Extended Duration: The maximum duration of work-sharing agreements has been extended from 38 weeks to 76 weeks.

• Increased Access: Adjustments have been made to make the program more accessible to businesses experiencing a downturn due to the tariffs.

This program allows employees to work reduced hours while receiving EI benefits, helping employers retain experienced staff and enabling workers to maintain their employment and skills during periods of reduced business activity. 

5. Strengthening Investment Protections:

To safeguard Canadian businesses from potentially harmful foreign takeovers during this period of economic vulnerability, the government has updated the Investment Canada Act Guidelines. While Canada continues to welcome foreign investment, these updates ensure that any investments posing risks to economic security can be thoroughly reviewed and addressed.

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